Saturday, 9 February 2013

Importation Pricing of Petroleum Products in Nigeria: The Shame of a Nation by Daniel Chimezie








BACKGROUND TO THE ESSAY
Nigeria is the largest producer of Petroleum in Africa and the sixth largest OPEC producer with proved reserves of more than 23 billion barrels. Nigeria's proven oil reserves are estimated by the U.S. United States Energy Information Administration (EIA) at between 16 and 22 billion barrels (3.5×109 m3) but other sources claim there could be as much as 35.3 billion barrels (5.61×109m3). Its reserves make Nigeria the tenth most petroleum-rich nation, and the most affluent in Africa (US E.I.A 1997). However, as oil prospecting continues in the Lake Chad basin and with new discoveries along the Anambra-Kogi basin, Nigeria’s proved and probable reserves are expected to be reviewed upwards. Over the years, the structure of the Nigerian economy had evolved to position the petroleum sector as the mainstay of the economy. The Petroleum industry currently accounts for more than 95% of the country’s foreign export earnings, over 80% of government revenue according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) (EIA, 2012). The Petroleum sector also contributes well over 20% of the nation’s Gross Domestic Product. Econometric simulations (Iyoha (1995), Orubu (2003)) had established a strong linkage between the value of Nigeria’s oil export earnings and her economic performance. Following this, Scholars including Oriakhi (2003) have argued that oil in the next 20 years or so will continue as an independent variable in the economic growth and development of Nigeria. Not only is petroleum economically relevant, it remains a strategic national product providing the internal energy requirements of the country for both domestic and industrial use.
There are many products as well as by-products of Nigerian Crude including but not limited to the Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) commonly known as petrol, Automotive Gas Oil (AGO) commonly known as diesel fuel, and Dual Purpose Kerosene (DPK) for household and aviation uses (Orubu, 2003).
Minister of Petroleum Resources Diezani Alison Madueke

PETROLEUM PRODUCT PRICING AND ADMINISTRATION IN NIGERIA
Nigeria is a Country with a very high demand for all categories of petroleum products. Although figures vary, official sources show average demands are put at: PMS 30-33million litres per day; AGO  12million/d; Kerosene 10million/d; and ATK (Aviation Turbine Kerosene commonly known as aviation fuel) 1.6million -3million/d depending on the season (Vanguard, January 26, 2011).  Nigeria also consumes a high level of both Automotive Gas Oil (AGO) and the Dual Purpose Kerosene (DPK). The Ministry of Petroleum Resources (MPR) remains the overall coach of the Nigerian Petroleum industry with the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) under the MPR serving as an industry operator and a direct handler of government interests in the sector. However, the NNPC first existed as the Nigerian National Oil Corporation (NNOC) which was established in 1971 (Orubu, 2003). The NNOC was established to strengthen Nigeria’s control over the petroleum industry (In view of the activities of powerful Oil Multi-National Corporations) and given responsibility for both up-stream and downstream activities in the sector. The NNOC also looked after Government’s participation in the activities of the oil companies. Before 1977, the Ministry of Petroleum Resources (which also had regulatory functions) operated side-by-side with the NNOC. That year, they were merged to form the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC). The NNPC combined the commercial functions of the defunct NNOC (that is, exploration, production, transportation, processing of oil, refining and marketing of crude oil and its refined products) with the regulatory functions formerly exercised by the Ministry of Petroleum Resources (National Bureau of Statistics, 2010). In March 1988, the NNPC was declared a commercial, integrated international oil company whose functions were to explore, develop,produce, process and market crude and refined petroleum, its by-products and derivatives at internationally-competitive prices in Nigeria and abroad.
Today, the NNPC has many subsidiaries but it is the Petroleum Products Pricing and Regulatory Agency (PPPRA) that was established in 2003 to determine the pricing of Petroleum Products and to regulate the supply and distribution of petroleum products (PPPRA 2013). The PPPRA is supposed to work in conjunction with other subsidiaries of NNPC to attain a strong, vibrant downstream sub-sector of the petroleum industry, where refining, supply, and distribution of petroleum products are self-financing and self-sustaining.
 THE WOBBLING STATE OF THE DOWNSTREAM PETROLEUM SUB-SECTOR
After about 56 years of commercial oil exploration and production (E&P), it could be argued that the upstream sub-sector of the Nigerian petroleum industry has been moderately successful owing largely to the massive investment of Oil Multi-National Corporations (OMNCs). Oil exploration and production (E&P) which is the source of crude oil has immensely contributed to Nigeria’s economic growth by serving as a major source of revenue and foreign exchange.
But this is probably where the good news ends for the Nigerian Petroleum industry. The downstream sub-sector of the industry which comprises of Refining (although sometimes placed under the so-called mid-stream sub-sector), Distribution and Marketing could best be described to be in a wobbling state. This is as a result of the high level of inefficiency in the sub-sector in terms of low value addition on crude oil.
The fact that bulk of Nigeria’s crude oil is refined abroad is a pointer to this fact. Although, Nigeria has about four Refineries including the old Port-Harcourt Refinery (1965), the Warri Refinery (1978) , the Kaduna Refinery (1980) and the new Port-Harcourt Refinery (1987) but these Refineries are functioning at sub-optimal capacity and the country continues to spend substantial foreign exchange to import fuels for domestic consumption (Orubu, 2003).
THE RESULTANT IMPORTATION PRICING POLICY
Domestic refining in Nigeria cannot meet up with domestic consumption so Nigeria resorts to importation of refined crude – This is actually the tragedy of the story of the petroleum industry. According to NNPC sources, Nigeria’s four refineries have a combined installed capacity of 445,000 bpd but using less than 30% of their installed capacity (Vanguard, January 23, 2012).  For almost the whole of 2010, the four refineries with a combined capacity in excess of 445,000 barrels per day could only refine a mere 80,757 metric tonnes of petroleum products. These are 19,967 of premium motor spirit, PMS or petrol; 53,223.4 MT of automotive gas oil, AGO or diesel; and 7,567MT of liquefied petroleum gas, LPG or cooking gas.
The rest volume of 8.1 million MT of petroleum products that came into the downstream sector was imported. But for the Federal Government/ Nigeria LNG LPD Domestic Supply Programme, only LPG was not imported (Vanguard, January 26, 2011).  With this low domestic refining capacity, Nigeria has no choice but to depend on importation of refined products to meet domestic energy requirements.
What this means is that Nigeria exports raw crude only to import refined petroleum products. To import these refined products, Nigeria would have to pay at the international price per metric ton plus other costs of landing the products in Nigeria. This explains the concept of importation pricing policy. More succinctly, we can explain the concept of importation pricing policy of petroleum products as the situation where Nigeria imports refined petroleum products (in millions of metric tonnes) at the prevailing international price plus other costs of landing the products in Nigeria as indicated in the PPPRA pricing template. This importation is usually undertaken by both the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) and independent marketers. Not only do we import refined products, the process of importation is fraught with irregularities with high level of corruption including the inflation of figures of imported products (in order to make high subsidy claims) at huge costs to both the government and the Nigerian citizenry. It is worthy to note that the crude refined in Nigeria is supplied to end users at the same price with the imported products.
To understand how petroleum products are priced in Nigeria, we need to take a cursory look at the pricing template of petroleum products in Nigeria.
THE PETROLEUM PRODUCT PRICING TEMPLATE IN NIGERIA AS PROVIDED BY THE PPPRA
The PPPRA products pricing template (Daily & Monthly) is a pricing information sheet detailing the components used in deriving the PPPRA daily/monthly guiding products prices. It employs Import Parity Principle and this includes:
(i) Landing Cost of Products
(ii) Margins for the Marketers, Dealers, and Transporters
(iii) Jetty-Depot Through-put
(iv) Other charges and Taxes.
The objectives of the pricing template are to ensure transparency, full cost recovery, Fairness and efficiency in the importation process but how far this template has fulfilled these objectives could be called to question because of the secrecy, conservatism and non-disclosure in the practical sense.

DESCRIPTION OF COMPONENTS ON THE PRICING TEMPLATE.
 According to the PPPRA, with effect from February 2009, the components of the petroleum product pricing template include:
1.         PRODUCT COST ($/MT)
This is the monthly moving average cost of products cost as quoted on Platts Oil gram. The reference spot market is North West Europe (NWE).
2.         FREIGHT ($/MT)
This is the average clean tanker freight rate (World Scale (WS) 100) as quoted on Platts. It is the Cost of transporting 30, 000mt (30kt) of product from NWE to West Africa (WAF). Trader’s margin of $10/MT is also factored into the Freight cost.
3.         LIGHTERING EXPENSES ($/MT)
STS/Local Freight charge is the cost incurred on the trans-shipment of imported petroleum products from the mother vessel into daughter vessel to allow for the onward movement of the vessel into the Jetty. This charge includes receipt losses of 0.3% in the process of products movement from the high sea to the Jetty and then to the depot. The mother vessels expenses are based on the allowable 10 days demurrage exposure at the rate of $28,000 per day.
The Lightering Expenses also includes the Shuttle vessel’s chartering rates from Offshore Lagos to Lagos and Port Harcourt which currently stands at N2.00 per litre and N2.50 per litre respectively. Trans-shipment (STS) process is as a result of peculiar draught situation and inadequate berthing facilities at the Ports.
4.         NIGERIA PORT AUTHORITY (NPA) CHARGE ($/MT)
It is the cargo dues (harbour handling charge) charged by the NPA for use of Port facilities. The charge includes VAT and Agency expenses.

Currently, NPA charge attracts $10.50/MT on the pricing template.
5.         FINANCING
It refers to stock finance (cost of fund) for the imported product. It includes the cargo financing based on the International London Inter- bank Offered Rates (LIBOR) rates+5% premium for 30 days (for Annual Libor rate of 2.07%, LIBOR cost would be 7.07%). Also included in the Finance cost is the interest charge on the subsidy element being awaited for an allowable 60 days period at Nigerian Inter Bank Offered Rate (NIBOR) rate of 22%.
6.         JETTY DEPOT THRU PUT
This is the tariff paid for use of facilities at the Jetty by the marketers to move products to the storage depots. The value is currently N0.80/litre.
7.         STORAGE CHARGE
Storage Margin is for depot operations covering storage charges and other services rendered by the depot owners. The charge is currentlyN3.00/litre.
8.         LANDING COST
It is the cost of imported products delivered into the Jetty depots. It is made up of components highlighted above (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 and 7).
9.         DISTRIBUTION MARGINS
These include Retailers (N4.60 per litre), Transporters margins (N2.99 per litre), Dealers margin (N1.75 per litre), Bridging Fund (plus Marine Transport Average) (N6.00 per litre) and Administrative charge (N0.15 per litre). This amounts to N15.49 per litre on the template. The overhead cost and other running costs have been considered in the determination of these margins.
10.       TAXES
These include highway maintenance, government, import and fuel taxes. It has the overall objectives of revenue generation, social infrastructure investment and servicing and efficient fuel usage. Presently, all these attract zero taxes.
11.       RETAIL PRICE
This is the expected pump price of petroleum product at retail outlet. It is made up of landing cost of imported product plus reasonable distribution margins.
THE PRICING TEMPLATE: USING PREMIUM MOTOR SPIRIT (PMS) AS A CASE STUDY.
Given the high usage of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) commonly known as Petrol in Nigeria, we use it to provide a clue on how petroleum products are priced in Nigeria. Following the description provided above, the pricing template of PMS as provided by the PPPRA is as follows:




 
    PPPRA PRODUCT PRICING TEMPLATE
PMS
       Based on Average Platts' Prices for the month of DECEMBER, 2012
Average Exchange Rate of the NGN =N= to US$ for the Month of DECEMBER, 2012














PMS







$/MT
Naira/Litre











Cost Element;






1
C + F




    1,009.92
   119.66

2
Trader's Margin



         10.00
       1.18

3
Lightering Expenses (SVH)

         33.46
       3.96

4
NPA




            5.25
       0.62

5
Financing (SVH)


         15.85
       1.88

6
Jetty Depot Thru' Put Charge 

            6.75
       0.80

7
Storage Charge



         25.32
       3.00

8
Landing Cost



   1,106.55
  131.10











Distribution Margins:





9
Retailers



         38.83
       4.60

10
Transporters



         25.24
       2.99

11
Dealers



         14.77
       1.75

12
Bridging Fund 



         49.38
        5.85

13
Marine Transport Average (MTA)

            1.27
        0.15

14
Admin Charge



            1.27
       0.15


 Subtotal Margins


     130.74
    15.49











Foot Note:






15
Total Cost



    1,237.29
   146.59










16
* Official  Ex-Depot


       687.96
     81.51


**  Under/Over Recovery 

-      418.59
   (49.59)











 Taxes 







17

Highway Maintenance
             -  




18

Government Tax
             -  




19

Import Tax
             -  




20

Fuel Tax
             -  





Subtotal Taxes




             -  










21
Retail Price

       818.70
     97.00

Expected Open Market Price (OMP) (Naira/litre) is Landing cost +Margins 
    146.59









* C+F price is Offshore Nigeria





Conversion Rate (MT to Litres):
1341




Exchange Rate (N to $):

159.76













*  Official Ex Depot is exclusive of Bridging Fund, Marine Transport Average (MTA) & Admin. Charge 
* *Ex Depot includes Bridging Fund, Marine Transport Average (MTA) & Admin. Charge 

*** Effective Date of New Approved Pricing Template is 1st July 2011


Data is as at 31/12/12






The figures below show the importation of crude oil for the 31 days of the month of December 2012.

 
PPPRA Daily Products Pricing Template – PMS
DECEMBER, 2012
Days
C + F
Trader's 
Lightering
NPA
Exchange
Jetty-Dep
Depot 
Sub-Total
Financing
Landing Cost
Other Charges
Dist. Margin
 Expected 

(Off. NGN)
Margin
Expenses

Rate
Thru'Put
Charge









OMP

$/Mt
($/Mt)





Charge

(MV)
(SVL)
(SVH)
(MV)
(SVL)
(SVH)
(MV)
(SVL)
(SVH)




($/Mt.)
($/Mt.)
(Naira/$)
Naira/Litre
Naira/Litre
Naira/Litre
Naira/Litre
Naira/Litre
Naira/Litre
Naira/Litre
Naira/Litre



Mother Vessel
Shuttle Vessel (SV)



















(MV)
Low
High






































1





















2





















3
1016.08
10.00
7.72
29.26
33.48
5.25
158.88
0.80
3.00
126.90
129.45
129.95
1.80
1.89
1.90
128.71
131.34
131.86
6.15
9.34
147.35
4
1005.08
10.00
7.69
29.23
33.45
5.25
158.88
0.80
3.00
125.59
128.15
128.65
1.76
1.84
1.86
127.36
129.99
130.51
6.15
9.34
146.00
5
991.08
10.00
7.64
29.18
33.40
5.25
158.88
0.80
3.00
123.93
126.48
126.98
1.71
1.79
1.81
125.64
128.27
128.79
6.15
9.34
144.28
6
979.08
10.00
7.61
29.15
33.37
5.25
158.88
0.80
3.00
122.50
125.06
125.56
1.66
1.75
1.76
124.17
126.80
127.32
6.15
9.34
142.81
7
968.08
10.00
7.57
29.12
33.34
5.25
158.88
0.80
3.00
121.20
123.75
124.25
1.62
1.70
1.72
122.82
125.45
125.97
6.15
9.34
141.46
8





















9





















10
984.08
10.00
7.62
29.16
33.38
5.25
158.88
0.80
3.00
123.10
125.65
126.15
1.68
1.76
1.78
124.78
127.41
127.93
6.15
9.34
143.42
11
981.14
10.00
7.61
29.15
33.37
5.25
158.88
0.80
3.00
122.75
125.30
125.80
1.67
1.75
1.77
124.42
127.05
127.57
6.15
9.34
143.06
12
996.08
10.00
7.66
29.20
33.42
5.25
158.89
0.80
3.00
124.53
127.08
127.58
1.73
1.81
1.83
126.26
128.89
129.41
6.15
9.34
144.90
13
1008.97
10.00
7.70
29.24
33.46
5.25
158.89
0.80
3.00
126.06
128.62
129.12
1.78
1.86
1.87
127.84
130.47
130.99
6.15
9.34
146.48
14
1011.97
10.00
7.71
29.25
33.47
5.25
158.89
0.80
3.00
126.42
128.97
129.47
1.79
1.87
1.88
128.21
130.84
131.36
6.15
9.34
146.85
15





















16





















17
1022.47
10.00
7.74
29.28
33.50
5.25
158.89
0.80
3.00
127.67
130.22
130.72
1.83
1.91
1.92
129.50
132.13
132.65
6.15
9.34
148.14
18
1022.02
10.00
7.74
29.28
33.50
5.25
158.89
0.80
3.00
127.62
130.17
130.67
1.83
1.91
1.92
129.44
132.07
132.59
6.15
9.34
148.08
19
1027.08
10.00
7.75
29.29
33.51
5.25
158.89
0.80
3.00
128.22
130.77
131.27
1.84
1.93
1.94
130.06
132.69
133.21
6.15
9.34
148.70
20
1033.08
10.00
7.77
29.31
33.53
5.25
158.89
0.80
3.00
128.93
131.48
131.98
1.87
1.95
1.96
130.80
133.43
133.95
6.15
9.34
149.44
21
1021.08
10.00
7.73
29.27
33.49
5.25
158.89
0.80
3.00
127.50
130.06
130.56
1.82
1.90
1.92
129.33
131.96
132.47
6.15
9.34
147.96
22





















23





















24
1017.14
10.00
7.72
29.26
33.48
5.25
158.89
0.80
3.00
127.03
129.59
130.09
1.81
1.89
1.90
128.84
131.48
131.99
6.15
9.34
147.48
25
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
26
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
27
1043.64
10.00
7.80
29.34
33.56
5.25
158.89
0.80
3.00
130.18
132.74
133.24
1.91
1.99
2.01
132.09
134.73
135.24
6.15
9.34
150.73
28
1034.19
10.00
7.77
29.31
33.53
5.25
158.89
0.80
3.00
129.06
131.61
132.11
1.87
1.95
1.97
130.93
133.57
134.08
6.15
9.34
149.57
29





















30





















31
1026.19
10.00
7.75
29.29
33.51
5.25
158.89
0.80
3.00
128.11
130.66
131.16
1.84
1.92
1.94
129.95
132.59
133.10
6.15
9.34
148.59
AVG
1009.92
10.00
7.70
29.24
33.46
5.25
158.88
0.80
3.00
126.17
128.73
129.23
1.78
1.86
1.88
127.95
130.59
131.10
6.15
9.34
146.59

Note: Off. NGN: Offshore Nigeria





















Source: PPPRA

A HISTORY OF PETROLEUM PRODUCT PRICING AND FUEL SUBSIDY ADMINISTRATION IN NIGERIA
Over the years, the Nigerian government has intervened in the pricing of petroleum products. The Nigerian government unilaterally determines the pricing of petroleum products through the administration of a subsidy regime under the Petroleum Support Fund (PSF). Of all the essential products, only the Automotive Gas Oil (AGO) commonly known as gas is not being subsidized as it has undergone complete deregulation. The government periodically reviews the subsidy regime (and by implication the price of petroleum products) as determined by government’s fiscal position. Although, the government views the subsidy regime as a huge fiscal burden but attempts to completely remove the subsidy is usually met with very stiff resistance by labour unions and the general public (who see the subsidy as the only thing the masses benefit directly from government) through strikes and mass protests. So, the approach of government has been to increase the prices of these products marginally and then negotiate with labour unions. In January, 2012, President Goodluck Jonathan announced a full ‘deregulation’ of the downstream sector but still pegged the price of PMS at N142 per litre. With the new price tag of N142, many Economists including Professor Milton Iyoha have argued against government’s use of the term ‘deregulation’ as anti-economics since government still fixed the price of the products. He argued that the better term to describe the scenario was a fuel price increase (The Economist magazine, November 2012). Today, as reflected in the PPPRA template above, the official price of PMS is fixed at N97 (although the price varies across the country despite the existence of a Petroleum Equalization Fund (PEF) due to the high level of inefficiency and profiteering in the downstream sector) as against a total cost of N146.59 per litre (landing cost of N131.10 and distribution margins of N15.49) effectively giving a subsidy figure of N49.59 paid by government per litre imported.
Although, the purpose of the subsidy is to reduce the retail price of petroleum products for end users (and thus increase welfare gains) but this is argued against based on the premises that government’s activities in the downstream sub-sector have been largely distortionary. Below is a chronological presentation of petroleum product prices in Nigeria as administered by different political administrations since the 1970s:
Gowon, 1973: 6k to 8.45k (40.8%)
Murtala, 1976: 8.45k to 9k (0.59%)
Obasanjo, October 1, 1978: 9k to 15.3k (70%)
Shagari, April 20, 1982: 15.3k to 20k (30.71%)
Babangida, March 31 1986: 20k to 39.5k (97.5%)
Babangida, April 10 1988: 39.5k to 42k (6.33%)
Babangida, January 1, 1989: 42k to 60k Private vehicles.
Babangida, December 19, 1989: moved to uniform price of 60k (42.86%)
Babangida, March 6, 1991: 60k to 70k (16.67%)
Shonekan, November 8, 1993: 70k to N5 (614%)
Abacha, November 22,1993: petrol price drops from N5 to N3.25k (-35%)
Abacha, October 2,1994: N3.25k to N15 (361.54%)
Abacha, October 4,1994: price drops from N15 to N11(-26.67%)
Abubakar, December, 20, 1998: N11 to N25 (127.27%)
Abubakar, January 6,1999: N25 to N20 (-20%)
Obasanjo, June 1, 2000: N20 to N30 (50%)
Obasanjo, June 8, 2000: Petrol price reduced to N22 (-10%)
Obasanjo, January 1, 2002: N22 to N26 (18.18%)
Obasanjo, June to October, 2003: N26 to N42 (23.08%)
Obasanjo, May 29, 2004: N50 (19.05%)
Obasanjo, August 25, 2004: N65 (30%)
Obasanjo, May 27, 2007: N75 (15.38%)
Yar’Adua, June 2007: N65 (-15.38%)
Jonathan, January 1, 2012: N141 (117%).
January 28, 2012: N97 (-31.20%).
Source: Eme Okechukwu and Onwuka Chukwujekwu (2011)
6.0 WHY NIGERIA PURSUES A POLICY OF IMPORTATION PRICING OF HER PETROLEUM PRODUCTS.
From our analysis so far, it is very obvious that Nigeria pursues a policy of importation pricing of petroleum products essentially because she imports bulk of her products from abroad due to the fact that domestic refining capacity cannot meet up with domestic demand.
There seems to be an age-long conspiracy to ground the refineries or keep them at sub-optimal capacity so that the lucrative business of petroleum product importation will continue to boom. This is a grand conspiracy by past and present political leaders and their stooges in oil agencies (including the NNPC) and rapacious oil magnates to keep feeding fat on oil subsidy at the expense of the development of the downstream sub-sector and the Nigerian project as a whole.
The high level of general inefficiency (and specifically, inefficiency in the management of refineries) and corruption in the sector is mind-boggling. The Petroleum industry is one that is run like an elite secret society leaving the operations of the industry to be shrouded in secrecy ( largely because activities of the Nigerian Extractive Industry Transparency Initiative (NEITI) is inhibited) with lots of non-disclosure and false disclosure. This fact was recognized in a town hall meeting during the heated days of the fuel subsidy crisis by the President of the Trade Union Congress (TUC), Comrade Peter Esele when he described the operations of the NNPC and its subsidiaries as “the more you look, the less you see.”
The argument therefore is that as long as Nigeria’s domestic refining capacity cannot meet up with local demand, Nigeria would always resort to importation pricing of petroleum products. This is not an option for any inward and forward-looking country but that is the situation with Nigeria.   
THE IMPLICATION OF THE IMPORTATION PRICING POLICY: A THEORY OF WELFARE LOSS.
Nigeria’s policy of importation-pricing has wide-ranging national implications. Here, I attempt to capture these implications in a theory of welfare loss. The welfare loss includes losses being incurred by the masses, the private sector, the government and the general economy. These losses are captured below:
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               i.            By buying petroleum products at imported prices, the Nigerian citizenry incurs a loss in standard of living despite the existence of a subsidy regime. This is because even with the subsidy, Nigerians are still buying petroleum products at a higher price than it would have been if the products are refined internally. When compared with other members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), we find that Nigeria has the second highest price of PMS per litre at N97 after Iran (N102.05). Yet Iran pays a national minimum wage of N86, 585 while about 18 states of the federation have not complied with the national minimum wage act provision of N18,000.

OPEC Member
PMS Price/Litre
Minimum Wage
Population
Production '000 bPD (2007)
29,105,632
2,340
161,461 Nigerian naira
3,566,437
2,340
27,136,977
9,800
75,330,000
3,700
101,250 Nigerian naira
1,696,563
810
8,264,070
2,500
36,423,000
1,360a
5,670,688
1,650
30,399,572
1,481
140–200 Nigerian naira
167 million
2,250
Source: Wikipedia
As of 28 January 2012, the exchange rate was 1 United States dollar = 160.9561 Nigerian naira

The table above when analyzed lead us to conclude that Nigeria has the lowest standard of living among all OPEC countries as far as petroleum product pricing is concerned.       
            ii. As long as importation and thus importation pricing of petroleum products continue, the country is indirectly exporting jobs and importing unemployment and poverty. The more worrisome is the fact that the products are even imported from non-oil producing countries like Amsterdam, India, Korea, Finland, Singapore, France, Israel, Portugal, Italy, Sweden, Tunisia and many more. Worst still, majority of the products are ex-vessels rather than ex-depots (Vanguard, January 26, 2011). If all of Nigeria’s oil is refined in Nigeria, lots of jobs would have been created in the value chain of the downstream sector and this would alleviated the high level of unemployment and poverty in Nigeria. This is a welfare loss to the Nigerian masses.
         iii. The continuous importation of petroleum products also orchestrates a loss for the private sector. The private sector is losing possible profits it could have recouped by investing in building private refineries. The continuous importation pricing and particularly the regulation of the downstream petroleum sub-sector by government is a dis-incentive for private sector investment in domestic refining. This is a loss to the private sector.
         iv.  The government is also at the losing end as far as the subsidy regime (which is a result of the importation pricing policy of petroleum products) is concerned. The government views the subsidy regime as a fiscal burden and (only as a necessary evil) as huge funds that are supposed to be pumped into development efforts are diverted into a corruption-ridden subsidy regime. Nigeria spends so much on the subsidy regime despite her infrastructural deficit. The sadness of the imports as well as the subsidies that go with them, made a former Minister of National Planning and former PPPRA Board Chairman, Chief Rasheed Gbadamosi, to declare, “Trillions of naira which should have been used to develop other sectors by providing basic infrastructure such as water, roads, schools, hospitals are being wasted, because the downstream allowed monumental laziness.” (Vanguard, January 6, 2011).

Figures from a factsheet presented by the Finance Minister, Dr. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala (during a parley between government officials and opposition political parties) show that between 2006 and 2011, the country spent N3, 655.17 trillion to subsidise fuel. According to the Minister, the cash is 30 per cent of the total expenditure, 118% of the capital expenditure and 4.18% of the GDP.’ The Minister observed that in 2011 alone, about ‘N1.348 trillion was spent between January and October and it is expected to reach N1.436 trillion by the end of the year.’ Obviously, it is seen that the subsidy on imported petroleum products is a huge constraint on government finance expenditure since much of the funds that should go into infrastructural financing is swallowed up by the callous subsidy.
When Nigeria cannot play the role of a developmental state because of diversion of much-needed funds to a callous subsidy, then it could be argued that both the government and the society are incurring losses.
            v.            As importation and thus, importation pricing of petroleum products continue, the whole society is incurring a loss. With a distortionary subsidy regime, there is no incentive for private sector investment in the downstream sector (particularly in refining). The dearth of such investment denies Nigeria the possible value addition to the larger economy that a buoyant downstream sub-sector could have triggered. This is therefore a loss to the whole Nigerian society.
WAY FORWARD – ALTERNATIVE POLICY ACTIONS TO AVOID THE IMPORTATION PRICING POLICY PETROLEUM PRODUCTS IN NIGERIA.
Given the detrimental implications of the importation pricing policy of petroleum products especially with regards to the huge national welfare losses being incurred, it becomes necessary for Nigeria to seek alternative policy actions to avoid the importation pricing policy of petroleum products. The following alternative policy actions are recommended:
EFFECTING THE TURN AROUND MAINTENANCE (TAM) OF EXISTING REFINERIES
Nigeria’s four refineries have an installed capacity of 445,000 bpd but are currently operating far below capacity. There is need for Nigeria’s existing refineries to be repositioned to function at optimal capacity.
In this regard, Government should ensure that the overall Turn Around Maintenance (TAM) of our refineries as announced by the Minister of Petroleum Resources is properly supervised to allow the refineries function at optimal capacity and augment domestic supply. It is to be noted that the Federal government had announced that it had signed a contractual agreement with the original designers and builders of the existing refineries to effect a turn-around maintenance that will allow the refineries function at 90% capacity. It is important for the government to make true its words in this regard. This will serve at least as a short-run solution to reduce the quantity of imported petroleum products and reduce the imbroglio of importation pricing policy of petroleum products in Nigeria.
BUILDING NEW REFINERIES
It is unfortunate that all of Nigeria’s four refineries were built by the military. It is important for the government to invest in building new refineries especially the so-called green-field refineries.
Many analysts have argued that the way out of the current downstream quagmire is not only to get the four refineries to be truly operational, rather than mere political pronouncements as well as invest more in Greenfield refineries (Vanguard, January 26,2011).
In a lecture delivered during the heated days of the fuel subsidy protests, the Managing Director/Chief Executive Mobil Oil Nigeria Plc, Mr Yemi Oyebanji  argued that what import money can buy based on current value, the $7.6bn used to import petroleum products between January and November 2010, can comfortably build at least 10 green-field refineries  (Vanguard, January 26,2011).
However, there is a caveat here and that is the fact that from the Nigeria’s experience, government and her agencies are bad managers. Therefore, these new refineries should be handed over to the private sector to manage to ensure that they function efficiently. The erection of new refineries would raise local refining capacity and Nigeria would be able to avoid the importation pricing of petroleum products in Nigeria

FULL DEREGULATION OF THE DOWNSTREAM SUB-SECTOR
The dearth of private sector investment in the downstream sub-sector of the petroleum industry has been attributed to government’s regulation of the downstream sub-sector and the administration of a distortionary subsidy regime.
The existence of the oil subsidy has obviously stifled the much-needed private sector investments in the downstream sector of the oil industry. This goes with the attendant loss of potential jobs because of the dearth of investments in the sector. This is particularly disturbing especially in an economy with a very high unemployment rate as ours. Yet, we do know how much unemployment has contributed to the current wave of insecurity across the country. The oil subsidy as currently administered is neither helpful in capacity development nor building industry. Rather, by subsidising imported oil products, Nigeria only creates jobs for the exporting countries. If the subsidy is removed, it will enhance market competition and create the environment for private domestic refining to sustain domestic demand. As much as rudimentary economics tells us, no rational investor will put his investments where Government arbitrarily administers a regulatory price.
The Managing Director/Chief Executive Mobil Oil Nigeria Plc, Mr Yemi Oyebanji, argued at a recent conference in Lagos, “As long as it is easier for people to secure import licenses even when it is difficult to judge their capacities, and as long as we cannot have competitive pricing and better standard for all, the downstream will remain at the development stage (Vanguard, January 26, 2011).
 From the foregoing, it is obvious that the oil subsidy regime has a very gigantic opportunity cost in terms of loss of employment generation, investments and value addition to industry.
The Deregulation policy has globally been embraced by several countries, in order to lessen public sector dominance and for developing a liberalized market while ensuring adequate supply of products. Such is the story in Peru, Argentina, Pakistan, Chilean, Philippines, Thailand, Mexico, Canada, Venezuela, Japan and USA, all of which have systematically dismantled their State-owned oil companies, for a significant turning point in the success story of their oil industry reform efforts. (Loretta, 2004)

SANITIZING THE PETROLEUM SECTOR
  Before embarking on building new refineries and full deregulation, there is need for the petroleum industry particularly the downstream sector to be sanitized. This is because of the high level of corruption and secrecy in the sector.
In this regard, government should adequately implement the reports of the various committees set up by government including the Mallam Nuhu Ribadu-led Petroleum Revenue Special Task Force; the Mr. Dotun Suleiman-led Taskforce on Governance and Control; and the Dr. Kalu Idika Kalu-led National Refineries Special Taskforce.
In the same vein, government should legally and administratively empower the Nigerian Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (NEITI) to go beyond preparing reports and recommendations to implementing them to ensure sanity of the petroleum industry.
OVERHAULING THE NIGERIAN NATIONAL PETROLEUM CORPORATION (NNPC).
 If the NNPC must still exist after full deregulation, then the Corporation must be ready to play in a competitive industry with no special attention from the government. NNPC must be overhauled to operate in a level-playing ground with other industry operators and not a situation where government’s bias for the corporation has fuelled inefficiency and poor performance making it to be ranked as one of the 10 most failed corporations in the World.
In this regard, the NNPC has a lot to learn from the success stories of the national oil corporations of other developing countries including the Aramco (Saudi Arabia), Petrobras (Brazil) and Petronas (Malaysia) of this World.  


 CONCLUSION
At this stage of our national life, Nigeria should not have any business with the importation pricing of petroleum products but this has become inevitable due to the high level of inefficiency that characterized activities of the petroleum sector (particularly the downstream sub-sector). The huge national welfare loss being incurred is particularly devastating. The way forward for Nigeria is for government to provide the enabling environment for the private sector to build new refineries, ensure full deregulation, sanitize the petroleum sector, overhaul the NNPC and make efforts to diversify the country’s economic base. It is hoped that when these measures are put in place, Nigeria would be able to avoid the importation pricing of her petroleum products and reposition the Nigeria’s petroleum sector for maximum productivity and efficiency. Government must be sincere in efforts to avoid the importation pricing of petroleum products which has become the shame of our nation and a huge national tragedy.

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Uzoigwe, Chimezie Daniel is an Author and Social Commentator. A final year Student at the University of Benin. E-mail: uzoigwechimezie92@yahoo.com. 08179741950