Wednesday, 27 February 2013

18TH CENTURY VERSUS 21ST CENTURY: BALANCING NIGERIA'S PREPAREDNESS FOR AN INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION





Columnist: Daniel Chimezie Uzoigwe


1.     INTRODUCTION
1.0  WHAT IS INDUSTRIALIZATION?
In Economics, the term industrialization is usually used to connote a condition marked by an increase in the importance of industry to an economy. The process of industrialization describes the transition from an agricultural society to one based on industry. It is argue that during the process of industrialization, per capita income (level of income per person) rises and productivity levels also increase.

1.1  WHAT IS THE INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION


The term industrial Revolution (IR) is usually used in economic thought to describe the widespread replacement of manual labour by machines that began in Britain in the 18th century and is still continuing in some parts of the World. According to Mokyr (2001), the industrial revolution is argued to have taken place roughly from 1760 to 1830. The revolution consisted of a set of technological, economic and economic and social changes that in the long run revolutionized not just the British economy but the rest of Western Europe, North America and eventually much of the rest of the World.
The most immediate changes of the industrial revolution were in d nature of production; what was produced, as well as where and how.
1.2  WHAT STIMULATED THE INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION
The industrial revolution began in Great Britain because social, political, and legal conditions there were particularly favourable to change. There were particularly important improvements in transportation, such as faster ships, and communication, especially printing which played a key role in the development of the industrial revolution.
There were spectacular changes in industry and as Stigler (1965) would argue, iron and steel manufacture, the production of steam engines, and textiles were all powerful influences on Britain’s industrialization experience.
However, Derry and Williams (1987) argue that the industrial revolution was stimulated by factors remote from technology including the fact that there was no civil strife in England, the presence of a large middle class and the fact that government favoured trade.
1.3  IMPACT OF THE INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION
The industrial revolution is called a revolution because it changed society both significantly and rapidly. Over the course of history, it is arguable that the industrial revolution is one of the most spectacular events in global history.
As economic activities in many communities moved from agriculture to manufacturing, production shifted from its traditional locations in the home and small workshops to factories. Stigler (1965) argues that the overall amount of goods and services produced expanded dramatically, and the proportion of capital invested per worker grew.
In the long run, the industrial revolution brought economic improvement for most people in England with improved health and greater prosperity to people especially in the middle and upper classes of society. Specifically, we can follow Derry and Williams (1987) to argue that the industrial revolution:
        i.            Made industry to grow four times faster
      ii.            Changed all aspects of society including manufacturing
    iii.            Transformed social classes and
   iv.            Ensured higher standard of living for most.
2. A SITUATION ANALYSIS
2.0 WHY INDUSTRIALIZATION IS CRITICAL TO NIGERIA’S DEVELOPMENT
Industrialization has been known to be associated with growth in real per capita income and overall output growth hence, the maxim that manufacturing is the engine of growth. As a developing country, Nigeria needs industrialization to ensure wealth creation, reduce poverty and inequality gap including Nigeria’s back-aching unemployment level.

2.1 NIGERIA’S EXPERIENCE WITH INDUSTRIALIZATION
Since independence in 1960, Nigeria has made several efforts at industrialization. Even before independence, efforts were made to industrialize the Nigerian economy but these efforts were unco-ordinated and half-hearted (Ahmed, 2005).
The Nigerian government recognizes that industrialization is critical to national economic development and have put up policy measures aimed at industrializing the national economy.
2.2 NIGERIA’S INDUSTRIAL POLICY MEASURES SINCE 1960
To facilitate Nigeria’s industrial development, the Nigerian government has made a lot of efforts aimed at making the country an industrialized economy. Some of these efforts at industrialization include:
         I.            In the 1967-70 period, Nigeria pursued primarily a policy of industrialization based on import substitution.
       II.            From 1974 to 1980, the industrialization strategy changed swiftly from assemblage plants to heavy duty industrial structures.
    III.            The establishment of the Nigerian Industrial Development Bank (NIDB) and the Nigerian Bank for Commerce and Industry (NBCI) were all aimed at promoting Nigeria’s industrialization.
    IV.            The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) credit guidelines prescribed high allocation of credit to the industrial sector.
      V.            The Structural Adjustment Programme (SAP) of 1986 was aimed at diversifying Nigeria’s economic base including the productive sector of the economy.
    VI.            In 2009, the Federal Government, through the Bank of Industry (BOI) launched the N100 billion textile and garment industry revival fund.
 VII.            The United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO) has made efforts at ensuring Nigeria’s industrialization.
2.2.1 NIGERIA’S INDUSTRIAL POLICY OF 1988 AND THE BANK OF INDUSTRY
In 1988, Nigeria launched an industrial policy aimed at achieving an accelerated pace of industrial development for the country. The policy was principally targeted at increased export of manufactured goods and promotion of industrial development and national integration through industrial dispersal
In the same vein, the Bank of Industry was established to provide loanable funds to small and medium scale industrialists to facilitate Nigeria’s industrialization.
2.2.2 THE NATIONAL INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION PLAN
In 2012, the Ministry of Trade and Investment announced a plan for the Country’s industrialization. The plan is aimed at positioning and empowering the nation’s manufacturing sector as the key driver of economic growth through job creation.
However, it is very debatable how much these policies have actually imparted Nigeria’s industrialization.
3. AN EVALUATION
3.0 HOW MUCH PROGRESS HAS NIGERIA MADE TOWARDS INDUSTRIALIZATION
Nigeria’s manufacturing, mining and total industrial sectoral index experienced phenomenal growth till 1991, after which there was a nose-dive.
However, it is to be noted that the investments of oil Multi-national Corporations (MNCs) in the petroleum industry has impacted positively on Nigeria’s industrialization.
Aside the industrial growth experienced in the petroleum industry, manufacturing essentially has been on the decline. According to Iyoha (2005), for the decade of the 1990s, industrial output contributed a relative share of 49.6% to GDP. There is a rejoinder however and that is the fact that the high level of industrial contribution to GDP in the 1990s was essentially because of favourable oil prices. This is because for the same decade of the 1990s, the relative share of manufacturing production in GDP only managed to average an anaemic 4.96%. Nigeria’s manufacturing sector remains at the lowest ebb with the collapse of the iron and steel industry, the textiles industry leaving only the cement industry relatively active.
3.1 CHALLENGES TO NIGERIA’S INDUSTRIALIZATION
Despite Nigeria’s efforts at industrialization, the country has faced many challenges inhibiting industrialization. Ahmed (2005) identified some of these challenges to include:
       I.            High geographical concentration
     II.            High production cost
  III.            Low value added
  IV.            Low capacity utilization
    V.            High import content of industrial output, and
  VI.            Low level of foreign investment in manufacturing.
However, apart from these challenges, it is evident that incoherent and inconsistent policy of government towards industrialization has impacted the industrial sector negatively. This is just a way of saying that the government has not mustered enough political will to set Nigeria on the path of industrialization.
In the same vein, the power sector which is epileptic has not favoured Nigeria’s industrialization. Corruption and inefficiency in the management and subsequent privatization of our strategic iron and steel industry has left it in a comatose state.
3.2 18TH CENTURY VERSUS 21ST CENTURY: LESSONS FOR NIGERIA FROM THE ENGLISH EXPERIENCE
Earlier on, we established that the industrial revolution began in Great Britain because social, political, and legal conditions were known to be particularly favourable to change.
Nigeria has a lot of lessons to learn from the European experience. The lesson here primarily is that Nigeria may not be able to experience her own industrial revolution until social, political and economic conditions become favourable to change.
A study of the British industrial revolution shows that the industrialization process was strategic and internally-driven. Nigeria has a lesson to learn from this as true industrialization can only come through the development of the local industry and not by seeking aid and grants that would be misapplied. The East Asian miracle is also a big lesson for Nigeria on how countries can develop their industrial capacity by looking inwards.
3.3 HOW CERTAIN IS NIGERIA’S PREPAREDNESS FOR AN INDUSTRIAL TAKE-OFF
Nigeria’s industrial take-off cannot be said to be certain since the government is not strategic and co-ordinated in its efforts to industrialize. The lack of political will to implement existing policies is also a big issue.
Moreover, the epileptic state of the power sector remains an albatross to Nigeria’s industrial take-off. Until, the power problem is fixed, Nigeria’s efforts at industrialization would remain a mirage.
4.CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION

4.0 THE WAY FORWARD FOR NIGERIA’S INDUSTRIALIZATION
For Nigeria to experience industrialization, conscious efforts must be made in this regard. Moreover, efforts at industrialization must be sincere and internally-driven. In the light of the above, the following recommendations are made:
       I.            Efforts should be made to fix the power sector to reduce the high cost of production in the manufacturing sub-sector of the industrial sector.
     II.            Government should promote the growth of small and medium scale industrial outfits as this will help fast track Nigeria’s industrialization.
  III.            Efforts at industrialization should be internally-driven. In this regard, Nigeria should learn from the experience of the East Asian Miracle.
  IV.            Efforts should generally be geared towards the promotion of research and development (R&D) as this is critical to industrialization.
    V.            Since the industrial revolution (IR) in England did not come from the English Universities but from the workshops, efforts should be made to increase vocational and technical education for the emergence of small and medium scale industrialists who would drive the much –needed industrial growth in Nigeria.
  VI.            Political, economic, legal and social factors must change for Nigeria’s industrialization to be possible,
VII.            There is need for promotion of public-private partnership (PPP) in the efforts at industrialization.
4.1 CONCLUSION
From our analysis above, we agree that the industrialization in England was successful because conditions in England were prepared for change and favourable to industrialization. In the Nigerian case however, apart from positive developments in the foreign investors-dominated petroleum industry and good progress in the cement industry, we find that broad socio-political conditions necessary for industrialization are not in place thereby casting doubt on the country’s preparedness to industrialize. As a matter of fact, the country has experienced de-industrialization in the very strategic iron and steel industry and the textile industry. This is the Nigerian experience at present and the verdict is that with what is on grounds at present, Nigeria’s preparedness for an industrial revolution is uncertain. It is however unfortunate that what England achieved as far back as the 18th century, Nigeria is not able to achieve in the 21st century.

7.0  References
Afolabi A.B (2008). Repositioning the Nigerian Economy through Scientific and Technological Innovations. Africa; Journal of contemporary Issues.
Clark,Gregory (2001). The Secret History of the Industrial Revolution. Department of Economics, UCD,CA 95616.
E.U Ahmed (2005): ‘ Development of Industry and Manufacturing.’ In Structure, Growth and Development of the Nigerian Economy. Mindex Publishers. Benin-City.
Iyoha, M. A (2005). ‘An Overview of Leading Issues in the Structure and Development of the Nigerian Economy since 1960.’ In Structure, Growth and Development of the Nigerian Economy. Mindex Publishers. Benin-City.
Joseph, Onipede (2010): Technology Development in Nigeria: the Nigerian Machine Tools Industry Experience. Department of General Studies, LAUTECH.
Porter,Glenn. ‘Industrial Revolution.’ Microsoft Encarta 2009(DVD). Redmond ,WA: Microsoft Corporation,2008.
Stigler,Joseph(1965). The Process and Progress of Economics. Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago.
T.K Derry , T.I Williams (1987). A Short History of Technology.